During Tuesday’s presidential debate with Vice President Kamala Harris, former President Donald Trump repeated the false claim that crime is on the rise.
Speaking at an ABC News debate in Philadelphia, Trump said that while crime is going down in other parts of the world, “crime is exploding in this country.”
In fact, the 2020 crime wave has been on a downward trend over the past two years. Violent Crime Decreasing in 2022 and 2023 Preliminary data shows an even steeper decline is expected in 2024. According to the FBI’s Quarterly Uniform Crime Report for the first quarter of 2024, violent crime overall will decline by 1. Nationwide decrease of 15 percent Compared to Q1 2023.
The debate moderator cited FBI figures, which Trump doesn’t think are credible. “That’s a deceptive statement,” Trump retorted. “It doesn’t include the cities with the worst crime. It’s a fraud.”
The FBI data is far from perfect, but it’s consistent with other early data for 2024, released by the Association of Big City Mayors. First Quarter Data A survey of 68 major city police departments in May found homicides were down 17 percent.
“Even half the homicide decline suggested by the early 2024 data.” Written “The U.S. homicide rate this year will be roughly the same or lower than it was in 2015-2019, before homicides spiked in 2020,” Jeff Asher, data analyst and co-founder of AH Datalytics, predicts.
As reasonJacob Salam Written Last month, President Trump repeatedly claimed that “murder is skyrocketing,” but no matter how you analyze the statistics, that claim is completely unfounded.
“The Trump campaign explain “It is fair to dismiss the FBI’s quarterly numbers as ‘garbage’ or ‘fake statistics,'” Salam wrote, “but despite their preliminary nature and the challenges of transitioning to a new reporting system, their magnitude and direction are broadly consistent with what other sources indicate.”
Instead of stoking fear, politicians should be celebrating a safer America. Setbacks in criminal justice reform It’s based on a crime surge that is now a thing of the past.
