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Medicare’s new fee mannequin is constructed for AI, and many of the tech world has no concept

Neil Batlivala has spent seven years constructing a healthcare firm that many of the tech business has by no means heard of and that serves a affected person inhabitants most of Silicon Valley ignores. However final month, that work put him on the middle of one thing a lot larger.

His firm, Pair Workforce, introduced on April 30 it had been accepted into ACCESS, a Medicare program — as one in all 150 contributors chosen by the Facilities for Medicare & Medicaid Companies to check what AI-driven medical care might appear to be at federal scale. This system goes stay July 5.

“The federal government is creating swim lanes for AI innovation in historically regulated industries,” he instructed me over a Zoom name just a few days later. “The most effective resolution wins, which, in regulated industries like healthcare — that’s not been the case.”

ACCESS — Advancing Power Care with Efficient, Scalable Options — is a 10-year CMS program testing a fee mannequin that rewards well being outcomes somewhat than required actions (like a sure variety of check-ins). Collaborating organizations like Pair Workforce obtain predictable funds for managing qualifying circumstances and earn the complete quantity solely when sufferers meet measurable well being objectives, like decrease blood strain or decreased ache. It covers diabetes, hypertension, continual kidney illness, weight problems, despair, and nervousness.

That fee construction is the actual information.

Conventional Medicare reimburses primarily based on time spent with a clinician. There’s no mechanism to pay for an AI agent that displays a affected person between visits, calls to test in, coordinates a housing referral, or makes positive somebody picks up their treatment. ACCESS creates that mechanism for the primary time.

“It’s a fee mannequin transformation,” Batlivala stated. “You simply couldn’t do that earlier than.”

The primary cohort spans a variety of contributors — AI physician startups, digital diet remedy suppliers, related machine firms, and wearable makers like Whoop. Batlivala is skeptical of a few of them.

“I am a giant fan of wearables, however for a senior who’s scuffling with meals insecurity, I do not know the way a lot Whoop goes to have the ability to do,” he stated, including of his personal firm, “We have been constructing towards this for five-plus years now.”

Pair Workforce launched in 2019 with a selected type of affected person in thoughts: individuals managing continual circumstances who have been additionally coping with unstable housing, too little meals, or lack of transportation. A couple of third of Individuals fall someplace in that class.

The corporate’s premise was that you may’t enhance well being outcomes with out addressing the complete context of somebody’s life. It now employs roughly 850 scientific professionals, runs what it describes as the most important neighborhood well being workforce in California, and, per Batlivala, generates income above 9 figures. It has raised about $30 million, backed by Kleiner Perkins, Kraft Ventures, and Subsequent Ventures.

The mannequin has peer-reviewed proof behind it. A examine, co-authored by Pair Workforce researchers and peer-reviewed by the Journal of Basic Inner Drugs, evaluated Pair Workforce’s community-integrated mannequin, which blends medical, behavioral, and social look after Medicaid members with excessive charges of homelessness, critical psychological sickness, and continual illness and it confirmed sturdy affected person engagement and vital reductions in avoidable emergency and inpatient utilization. Batlivala says one in 4 hospital visits and one in two ER visits do not occur when a affected person is in his firm’s care.

However for years, delivering that stage of care required human groups, which restricted how briskly and cheaply it might scale. Then, about 9 months in the past, Pair Workforce deployed a voice AI agent known as Flora as its main patient-facing interface. Flora is obtainable 24 hours a day, handles consumption, coordinates referrals, and does the check-ins that preserve sufferers engaged between scientific visits.

The primary name that shifted his pondering was with a 67-year-old girl dwelling out of her automotive, managing PTSD and congestive coronary heart failure. She spoke with Flora for over an hour. “It was each unimaginable and miserable,” Batlivala instructed me. “Flora was in all probability the one ‘particular person’ she’d talked to in weeks about her state of affairs.” Now, hour-long conversations with Flora are routine. “That is the companionship piece,” he stated. “And it seems that’s really an intervention.”

The architects of ACCESS are themselves former startup operators. This system was designed by Abe Sutton, Director of the CMS Innovation Heart, and Jacob Shiff, Chief AI and Know-how Officer of the CMS Innovation Heart. Sutton was beforehand a enterprise capitalist at a healthcare fund known as Rubicon Founders. Shiff is a former healthcare founder. Each joined CMS beneath the Trump administration and their startup backgrounds are mirrored in this system’s design: outcome-based funds, direct-to-consumer enrollment, and a deliberate push for competitors.

There are actual dangers. Members are feeding terribly delicate affected person knowledge — intimate conversations about housing and ailments and psychological sickness — right into a federal infrastructure with a documented historical past of breaches, together with uncovered Social Safety numbers. For the weak populations ACCESS is designed to serve, that is not an impractical concern.

There are monetary dangers, too. The monitor report of CMS innovation applications is blended. A 2023 Congressional Finances Workplace evaluation discovered that the CMS Innovation Heart elevated federal spending by $5.4 billion throughout its first decade somewhat than producing the projected financial savings. CMS can also be paying much less per affected person monthly than many contributors anticipated, which implies the mathematics solely works for organizations which have totally automated most of their affected person interactions.

Batlivala’s reply to the reimbursement concern is that it is a function, not a bug. “If you wish to construct a mannequin that actually incentivizes the usage of AI, the reimbursement charges must be low,” he instructed me. “The economics solely work if you happen to’re working a lean, AI-first operation.”

Pair Workforce says it proper now has partnerships in place that give it entry to roughly 500,000 potential sufferers, and that it desires to achieve 1,000,000 inside three years.

Healthcare traders have been watching this intently. Digital well being funding hit its highest Q1 whole for the reason that pandemic this yr, with AI firms capturing the majority of it. However ACCESS has barely registered outdoors well being tech commerce press.

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